Following Anonymous’s comments in Revolutionary Change in the US Alliance in Northeast Asia Coming of September 4, 2019 Anonymous has provided further comments below:
Surprisingly, SK will not have a reconnaissance satellite capable of detecting a North Korean (NK) missile launch until 2023. [This is noting THAAD’s long range radar for missile detection is part of a US (not) South Korean system]. Neglecting military common sense, SK asked Israel, France and Germany for rental of the reconnaissance satellite in 2017 (August or September), and they soon refused.
SK President Moon Jae-in made Trump lose his face by the GSOMIA withdrawal. But, SK’s GSOMIA withdrawal has not resulted in the elimination of the US and SK alliance, because the relationship between US and SK is already damaged. In fact, GSOMIA is not important in terms of defense. As SK leaks military information of US and Japan to NK, US and Japan do not communicate important information to SK. GSOMIA, therefore has only symbolic meaning of US-SK-Japan cooperation against China. With the disappearance of US and SK as common enemies of China and NK their is a movement in President Moon Jae-in’s administration for the unification of SK and NK. A unified Korea will try to retain nuclear weapons.
“As South Korea’s (SK) missile defense system depends on Japanese reconnaissance satellites, withdrawal by SK from the SK-Japan intelligence sharing General Security of Military Information Agreement (GSOMIA)is nonsensical [1, 2] but is reasonably understandable in the context of elimination of US and SK alliance [3].
Surprisingly, SK will not have a reconnaissance satellite capable of detecting a North Korean (NK) missile launch until 2023. [This is noting THAAD’s long range radar for missile detection is part of a US (not) South Korean system]. Neglecting military common sense, SK asked Israel, France and Germany for rental of the reconnaissance satellite in 2017 (August or September), and they soon refused.
“South Korea is playing into the hands of North Korea and its allies”
SK President Moon Jae-in made Trump lose his face by the GSOMIA withdrawal. But, SK’s GSOMIA withdrawal has not resulted in the elimination of the US and SK alliance, because the relationship between US and SK is already damaged. In fact, GSOMIA is not important in terms of defense. As SK leaks military information of US and Japan to NK, US and Japan do not communicate important information to SK. GSOMIA, therefore has only symbolic meaning of US-SK-Japan cooperation against China. With the disappearance of US and SK as common enemies of China and NK their is a movement in President Moon Jae-in’s administration for the unification of SK and NK. A unified Korea will try to retain nuclear weapons.
SK President Moon Jae-in and his supporters believe the US and SK alliance is the biggest obstacle to unification of SK and NK, but if Moon Jae-in manifests the elimination of US and SK alliance, his government will definitely collapse by strong resistance of SK citizens and conservatives. If the US government manifests [opposes the breakup of the US-SK alliance] SK citizens and conservative politicians will give up their opposition to the alliance breakup. That’s why SK is purposely irritating the US. The main purpose of GSOMIA withdrawal is to calm NK leader Kim Jong-un, who is furious at the dishonesty of SK President Moon Jae-in.
For Trump the elimination of the US-SK alliance is an ace in his sleeve to have NK leader Kim Jong-un give up nuclear weapons. That’s why Trump hides his enthusiasm for the breakup. Trump believes US military forces in SK are a waste of money. Relations between the US and SK are very bad, but they are becoming calmer with the hope of a breakup of the US-SK alliance.
Attention should be paid to Moody's [stable] credit rating for SK, “because in the past US conducted financial sanction against SK when SK was against US.” [This is noting NK has not been assigned a credit rating by Moody’s or any other agency, presumably because NK is such a bad credit risk!]
Pete Comment
Much more corroborating evidence from many (especially US and South Korean) sources is required to support the above report's credibility.