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B-21 Nuclear Bombers for Australia May Be Worth It.

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See ASPI article"Senior US official says Washington would consider supplying B-21 bombers to Australia" dated August 23, 2022.

at https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/senior-us-official-says-washington-would-consider-supplying-b-21-bombers-to-australia/

Pete Comment

Quite an eye watering ASPI title. I've hithertoo discounted Australia buying B-2 or
B-21 stealth bombers on cost grounds. I've also always assumed that, as with the
F-22s, the US would guard its technical supremacy by never selling stealth bombers, even to Five Eye allies.

The B-2s' cost is around US$4 Billion each in US 2022 dollars (only US$2 Billion in 1997 dollars) for the 21 B-2s ever built - and only for the USAF. B-2s are also the most expensive aircraft to maintain in history - with each B-2 flight hour requiring 119 hours of maintenance.

Even if 100 new improved B-21s are sold to the USAF the price for a foreign customer ie.  Australia (adding training, spares, basing, profit etc) would surely cost more than AU$2 Billion each. If the US ever gave the green light Australia might be looking at purchasing 12.

At that price only nuclear weapons delivery would make sense and differentiate Australian B-21s from the Super Hornet and F-35A fighter-bombers that Australia already has.

Still, I think an Australian nuclear deterrent (against China) would make more sense than 8 AUKUS SSNs (that could only project 25 tonnes of conventional high explosive each with their torpedoes and missiles). So I now think AUKUS SSNs are not what Australia needs - because they won't deter a nuclear armed China. 

Other arms of an Aussie nuclear deterrent might include:

-  long range missiles (see the 25m high "Gilmours")

and 

-  DSME KSS-III SSBs (ie. conventionally propelled ballistic missile submarines).  Kym Bergmann at APDR has written an excellent article on the KSS-IIIs. 

Even little Israel has been able to afford a nuclear triad, with Jericho MRBMs to ICBMs, nuclear armed fighter bombers and Dolphin SSBs. This allows Israel to pursue independent foreign and defence policies - without following the US into every war startable.


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