Anonymous on August
6, 2024 commented“The violence looks like it will spread beyond Lebanon” pointing to Howard Altman’sarticle
Scramble Underway To Prepare For Looming
Iranian Retribution Strike On Israel dated August 5, 2024
at https://www.twz.com/news-features/scramble-underway-to-prepare-for-looming-iranian-retribution-strike-on-israel
Pete Comment
The need for an Israeli pre-emptive missile, drone and aircraft strike against
Iranian missile and drone launch sites may be necessary assuming, unlike April
13, 2024, Iran does not intend to "telegraph" its intention
to launch a major missile and drone strike against Israel.
As I commented as "pete747303e046b1699"
on April 27, 2024 at
https://intelnews.org/2024/04/26/01-3342/#comments
on IntelNews
:
"This short term redemption was possible because Iran apparently gave
those Arab countries (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jorden, and Iraq) a few days notice
that Iran would be sending those drones and missiles through their airspace on
the way to Israel. Unsurprisingly some or all of those Arab countries forwarded
the warnings to Israel and the US. Also Israel and the US, no doubt by
intelligence means, intercepted Iran’s warnings to those Arab countries.
I think Iran may have even telegraphed its intentions far and wide for all to
hear in order to signal its displeasure, but not to cause too much death and
destruction in Israel."
If, in August 2024, Iran gives no such warning, then death and destruction in
Israel may be considerable.
However, a pre-emptive Israeli strike may further escalate matters if Israel
adds additional items to the existing Iranian ballistic missile, SAM and drone
launch site target list. Such an extended list might include command and
control centres containing senior and undercover Iranian Revolutionary Guards, regular Iranian military officers and Iranian proxy groups in Iran, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen.
Further escalation might be triggered by US pre-emptive and/or retaliatory
strikes (in support of Israel) against Iran and/or its proxies.
This may provide a pretext for Russia, part sponsor of Iran, to enter the conflict in ways
unexpected. Russia may also exert more offensive effort inUkraine, while the US and the Western world generally, are distracted by the Middle East-Iranian situation.
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Israel vs Iran Exchanges Could Escalate Wars: Ukraine
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