Launch of the first of class Soryu ("Blue (or Green) Dragon") (Japanese そうりゅう ) at MHI's shipyard in Kobe, Japan, December 2007. Australia's future submarines are likely to be launched nearby in Kobe (from 2025-25 onwards) at MHI and/or KHI. (Photo courtesy Japan Times).
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I think it is useful, when considering how the Soryu will (or may) evolve into Australia's future submarine, to illustrate the possibilities in tabular form.
S has been very helpful in the construction of the Table. The "16SS" through to "29SS" sequence appears to be Japanese Ministry of Defence's (JMD/MoD's) terminology for planning and funding submarine authorizations year after year.
16SS can be called the beginning of the sequence of "Soryu Mark 1s" which have diesel engines and Lead Acid Batteries (LABs) as their primary propulsion and Stirling Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) as secondary propulsion.
For the future Soryus 27SS and 28SS LABs will be replaced by Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). For them and Japanese submarines onwards Stirling AIP will be removed. These changes could justify future 27SS or 28SS being described as the first of the "Soryu Mark 2s". Possibly they will be given another Japanese name instead of Soryu and possibly they may have a fuel cell AIP emergency backup.
29SS with greater certainty will be a new submarine class (no longer called Soryu). It is likely that Australia's future submarine will be a derivative of 29SS - perhaps 500 tons to 1,000 tons heavier than 29SS to fulfil Australia's submarine content requirements (eg. much more diesel fuel capacity and one or more vertical multi-purpose locks (VMPL)).
When Australia's first new submarine is laid down in Kobe, Japan (perhaps in 2023) major changes to Japan's submarine production/build pattern will occur. KHI/MHI will cease their overall one submarine per year alternating build pattern and will build an average of one Japanese submarine and one Australian submarine per year. This will be the first rapid increase "spike" in submarine production in Japan since WWII.
Anywhere from 6 to 12 Australian submarines will be built. US and Australian technicians will be present in Japan installing and testing the mainly US developed combat system of sensors-database-weapons (perhaps 30% +of a submarine build effort).
SORYU TABLE
In the Soryu Table below:
- LAB means Lead Acid Battery.
- LIB is Lithium-ion Battery,
- AIP is Air Independent Propulsion (Swedish-Kockums designed Stirling)
When Soryu (Blue (or Green) Dragon) (in Japanese そうりゅう ) is translated into English it oftens comes out as "Ssangyong". Obviously a more complex translation process than German or French.
SS No. | Building No. | Pennant No. | Name/Namesake | LAB or LIB & AIP * | Laid Down | Laun -ched | Commi-ssioned | Built By |
16SS | 8116 | SS-501 | LAB + AIP | March 2005 | Dec 2007 | March 2009 | MHI | |
17SS | 8117 | SS-502 | LAB + AIP | March 2006 | Oct 2008 | March 2010 | KHI | |
18SS | 8118 | SS-503 | LAB + AIP | Feb 2007 | Oct 2009 | March 2011 | MHI | |
19SS | 8119 | SS-504 | LAB + AIP | March 2008 | Nov 2010 | March 2012 | KHI | |
20SS | 8120 | SS-505 | Zuiryu (けんりゅう) / Sword Dragon | LAB + AIP | March 2009 | Oct 2011 | March 2013 | MHI |
22SS | 8122 | SS-506 | LAB + AIP | January 2011 | Oct 2013 | March 2014 | KHI | |
23SS | 8123 | SS-507 | LAB + AIP | Feb 2012 | Nov 2014 | March 2016? | MHI | |
24SS | 8124 | SS-508 | ? | LAB + AIP | 2013 | 2015? | 2017 | KHI |
25SS | 8125 | SS-509 | ? | LAB + AIP | 2014 | 2016? | 2018 | MHI |
26SS | 8126 | SS-510 | ? | LAB? + AIP | 2015 | 2017? | 2019 | KHI |
27SS | 8127 | SS-511 | Soryu Mark 2 | LIB only | 2016? | 2018? | 2020? | MHI |
28SS | 8128 | SS-512 | ? | LIB only | 2017? | 2019? | 2021? | KHI |
29SS | 8129 | SS-513 | LIB only | 2018? | 2020? | 2022? | MHI | |
1AU? | 1st Australian class? | 2023? | ||||||
The Japanese Ministry of Defence seems to be steadily generating more website material - part of public transparency - which I will explore in future articles.
Pete