Will an enlarged Japanese submarine (similar to the one pictured) win the future submarine competition and be built in Australia?
Industry Minister Christopher Pyne is playing up an aspect of the future submarine Competitive Evaluation Process (CEP) that was always there. This is two days since his last major defence announcement? That is that each of the three bidders must supply a Full Build in Australia option. Pyne's assertions today:
- supports my theory that as the most senior politician (and MP) from South Australia he has to be seen by other South Australian MPs who voted for Turnbull as standing up for the interests of their State.
- takes account of the possibility that if most of the submarines are not eventually built in South Australia at least he can say he tried. Other politicians, interests and scapegoats can then be blamed.
- supports my theory that as the most senior politician (and MP) from South Australia he has to be seen by other South Australian MPs who voted for Turnbull as standing up for the interests of their State.
- takes account of the possibility that if most of the submarines are not eventually built in South Australia at least he can say he tried. Other politicians, interests and scapegoats can then be blamed.
- confirm his high status in the new Turnbull Ministry while increasing the safety of his electorate position in South Australia
- redefine the role of Industry Minister in what under previous Governments would have been a matter for main carriage by the Defence Minister or Prime Minister. This may portend current or future power instability in the Turnbull Government.
- the relative lack of Defence Ministerial and Prime Ministerial comment on submarines this week appears to indicate tacit approval by those 2 Ministers with Industry Minister Pyne’s message and his right to communicate it.
- presumably new Defence Minister Marise Payne is fully engaged with the 2015 Defence White Paper editing and publication process (which includes more official submarine, future frigate and smaller patrol vessel announcements)
The SEA 1000 CEP is actually for an entirely new submarine that will weigh 4,000 tons (surfaced). The likely cost of 2 to 3 $Billion each (if built in South Australia) needs to be anticipated. This will be the world's heaviest conventional submarine. If new Treasurer, Scott Morrison, is talking of the need for restraint in the CIVILIAN budget why is Australia proposing to build the most expensive conventional submarine ever?
Is the DEFENCE budget a special interest set apart from other budget realities?
The SEA 1000 CEP is actually for an entirely new submarine that will weigh 4,000 tons (surfaced). The likely cost of 2 to 3 $Billion each (if built in South Australia) needs to be anticipated. This will be the world's heaviest conventional submarine. If new Treasurer, Scott Morrison, is talking of the need for restraint in the CIVILIAN budget why is Australia proposing to build the most expensive conventional submarine ever?
Is the DEFENCE budget a special interest set apart from other budget realities?
ABC Online, September 25, 2016 reports.
All three international bidders for the multi-billion-dollar contract to produce Australia's next fleet of submarines would prefer to build in Australia, according to Cabinet Minister Christopher Pyne.
…Industry Minister Mr Pyne has confirmed Japan is open to an Australian build process, and said all three countries were prepared to offer a local build option.
…"All three of them are now saying they'd prefer a domestic build,"Mr Pyne told Channel Nine this morning.
…Mr Pyne holds a South Australian seat that is considered marginal and has played up the prospects of Japan's interest in building in Australia.
"As a South Australian that is music to my ears but we will go through the proper processes and we'll make an announce at the appropriate time," he said.
…Labor's defence spokesman Stephen Conroy said he was happy to hear all countries were providing a local build option. But he said Mr Pyne had not indicated that the Government will rule out building the submarines overseas. "When Chris Pyne and Marise Payne and Malcolm Turnbull receive those bids they should only consider the three domestic build bids."
SPECIAL INFORMATION
On a less mainstream media matter special correspondent to Submarine Matters“S” indicated today that:
As [the Japanese Navy] does not like to lengthen submarines, if there is not significant structural change, the length of SS29 [may be laid down 2018 and commissioned 2022 - see table below] is expected to be 84 meters. That is the same as the [current Soryu and future Soryu for Japan] length of SS28, i.e. 84m.
If the length of SS29 mod-AUS [Japanese designed future submarine for Australia] is 88m (submerged weight = 4500-4600t) for additional fuel and improved endurance - the extra range of 5000nm [to achieve the 11,000 nautical miles range that Australia wants] is achievable without loss of performance in my opinion. I expect some increase (plus 1-2knot/h) in the snorkel speed for 29SS by scaling-up the diesel engines.
The cost of the US combat system integration is not reported, but the cost related to the submarine information processing subsystem consisted of:
i) computer for calculation on sonar and launch controller and
ii) display of target is reported.
The cost of the submarine information display for 19SS in FY2014 is 420M\ (5M$,100\=1.19$)|. [source of information provided to S undisclosed]
SS No. | Building No. | Pennant No. | Name/Namesake | LAB or LIB & AIP * | Laid Down | Laun -ched | Commi-ssioned | Built By |
16SS | 8116 | SS-501 | LAB + AIP | March 2005 | Dec 2007 | March 2009 | MHI | |
17SS | 8117 | SS-502 | LAB + AIP | March 2006 | Oct 2008 | March 2010 | KHI | |
18SS | 8118 | SS-503 | LAB + AIP | Feb 2007 | Oct 2009 | March 2011 | MHI | |
19SS | 8119 | SS-504 | LAB + AIP | March 2008 | Nov 2010 | March 2012 | KHI | |
20SS | 8120 | SS-505 | Zuiryu (けんりゅう) / Sword Dragon | LAB + AIP | March 2009 | Oct 2011 | March 2013 | MHI |
22SS | 8122 | SS-506 | LAB + AIP | January 2011 | Oct 2013 | March 2014 | KHI | |
23SS | 8123 | SS-507 | LAB + AIP | Feb 2012 | Nov 2014 | March 2016? | MHI | |
24SS | 8124 | SS-508 | ? | LAB + AIP | 2013 | 2015? | 2017 | KHI |
25SS | 8125 | SS-509 | ? | LAB + AIP | 2014 | 2016? | 2018 | MHI |
26SS | 8126 | SS-510 | ? | LAB? + AIP | 2015 | 2017? | 2019 | KHI |
27SS | 8127 | SS-511 | Soryu Mark 2 | LIB only | 2016? | 2018? | 2020? | MHI |
28SS | 8128 | SS-512 | ? | LIB only | 2017? | 2019? | 2021? | KHI |
29SS | 8129 | SS-513 | LIB only | 2018? | 2020? | 2022? | MHI | |
1AU? | 1st Australian class? | 2023? | 2026? | 2029? | ||||
- LAB = Lead Acid Battery.
- LIB = Lithium-ion Battery,
- AIP = Air Independent Propulsion (Swedish-Kockums designed Stirling engine)
Pete