Note that the new submarines will only begin to be built in about 12 years time - for entry into service not in the late 2020s but the early 2030s.
There is currently a political confrontation between former Prime Minister Abbott and current Prime Minister Turnbull over what Abbott perceives as a new submarine "delay".
Only beginning the build in 2027 may cause much uncertainty for the winning contender. The delay may effect TKMS and DCNS less as there is a full export or foreign build order book for TKMS (for Greece, Turkey, Egypt, Singapore, Israel and South Korea) and almost full for DCNS (India and Brazil).
For Japan it is a long wait. The delay may benefit Australia with the opportunity for Lithium-ion Batteries (LIBs), new diesels and the new snorkel system being operationally tested in Japanese Soryu Mark 2s and new, post Soryu class, over a longer period. If Japan is chosen see the Australian build details in red in the SORYU TABLE below.
If TKMS or DCNS are chosen Australia may benefit from those companies spending a longer period developing and testing new air independent propulsion (AIP) technologies and also LIBs.
Without the CEP contender even being announced the "delay" controversy should serve as a warning to contenders about how political the new submarine issue is in Australia. Australian government decisions may continue to be surprising, personality and election driven. Different Prime Ministers and Coalition versus Labor governments may have conflicting ideas as to when and where the submarines should be assembled.
SORYU TABLE (with earlier Oyashios, as at March 4, 2016)
SS No. | Building No. | Pennant No. | MoF approved amount ¥ Billions & FY | LABs, LIBs, AIP | Laid Down | Laun -ched | Commi-ssioned | Built By |
5SS | 8105 | SS-590/ TS3608 | ¥52.2B FY1993 | LABs only | Jan 1994 | Oct 1996 | Mar 1998 | KHI |
6SS-15SS Oyashios 10 subs | 8106 -8115 | SS-591-600 | ¥52.2B per sub FY1994-FY2003 | LABs only | Feb 1994 | Mar 2008 | MHI & KHI | |
16SS Soryu Mark 1 | 8116 | SS-501 | ¥60B FY2004 | LABs + AIP | Mar 2005 | Dec 2007 | Mar 2009 | MHI |
17SS | 8117 | SS-502 | ¥58.7B FY2005 | LABs + AIP | Mar 2006 | Oct 2008 | Mar 2010 | KHI |
18SS | 8118 | SS-503 | ¥56.2 FY2006 | LABs + AIP | Feb 2007 | Oct 2009 | Mar 2011 | MHI |
19SS | 8119 | SS-504 | ¥53B FY2007 | LABs + AIP | Mar 2008 | Nov 2010 | Mar 2012 | KHI |
20SS | 8120 | SS-505 | ¥51B FY2008 | LABs + AIP | Mar 2009 | Oct 2011 | Mar 2013 | MHI |
No 21SS | No 21SS built | |||||||
22SS | 8121 | SS-506 | ¥52.8B FY2010 | LABs + AIP | Jan 2011 | Oct 2013 | Mar 2015 | KHI |
23SS | 8122 | SS-507 | ¥54.6B FY2011 | LABs + AIP | Feb 2012 | Oct 2014 | Mar 2016 | MHI |
24SS | 8123 | SS-508 | ¥54.7B FY2012 | LABs + AIP | Mar 2013 | Nov 2015 | Mar 2017 | KHI |
25SS | 8124 | SS-509 | ¥53.1B FY2013 | LABs + AIP | Oct 2013 | Nov 2016 | Mar 2018 | MHI |
26SS | 8125 | SS-510 | ¥51.7B FY2014 | LABs + AIP | ? | ? | Mar 2019 | KHI |
27SS Soryu Mark 2 | 8126 | SS-511 | ¥64.3B FY2015 | LIBs only | ? | ? | Mar 2020 | MHI |
28SS | 8127 | SS-512 | ¥63.6B FY2016 | LIBs only | ? | ? | Mar 2021 | KHI |
29SS | ? | ? | 1st of New Japanese Class | LIBs only | ? | ? | 2023? | MHI? |
Aus1 | ? | ? | 1st of new Aus class (if Japan chosen) | LIBs only | 2028? | 2030? | 2033? | in Aus or Jpn? |
Aus2 to 12? | ? | ? | between 5 and 11 additional Aus subs | LIBs only | from 2029? | from 2031? | from 2034? | in Aus or Jpn? |
Table courtesy of information provided to Submarine Matters. LABs = lead-acid batteries,
AIP = air independent propulsion, LIBs = lithium-ion batteries.
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Pete