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The future French SSN and SSBN Programs - DCNS Prototype for Australian CEP

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DCNS HULL PROTOTYPE (BARRACUDA) FOR SHORTFIN CONTENDER, 2007 - 2017 LAUNCHES, 1 EXPECTED

Barracuda SSN Name
Laid down
Launch (est.)
Commissioning (est.)
Suffren
end of 2017 (the crew expect)
end 2018 or 2019
Duguay-Trouin
?
end 2020
Tourville
?
Grasse 
?
?
Ruby
?
?
Casabianca
?
?
DCNS indicate that the "Shortfin" contender for Future Australian Submarine is to be a conventional (diesel-electric) version of the nuclear propelled Barracuda SSN (Suffren class). Barracudas laid down 2007 - first may be launched in 2017. Table based on https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classe_Suffren_(sous-marin)#Noms . 
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The Shortfin that France is offering is to be a conventional version of the future Barracuda SSN. The first Barracuda, the Suffren, was laid down in 2007 and apparently will be launched late 2017 (see Suffren's future crew article) and commissioned late 2018.

What occurred in the decade (so far) of Barracuda/Suffren's construction has not been explained to the Australian public or appeared in the media. Apparently the French Government delayed the construction schedule due to:

-  changing mission requirements involving redesign (changes to submarine) perhaps in view of the growing threat from Russia and greater intelligence gathering needs in the post 9/11 War on Terror

-  to reduce annual Barracuda construction spending in order to cross subsidize other defence programs and civilian budget items (following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis?)


"The fall of the USSR and the new world order, with its low intensity conflicts and the increase in maritime traffic, have upgraded the role of navies. The evolution of the missions has significantly delayed the replacement schedule of the sixx SSNs of the [current] Ruby [Rubis] class ...by six attack submarines [the Barracuda SSNs]. The Barracuda definition phase started in October 1998 and design phase in 2002 for the then planned [launch and] tests in 2008 and [entry into] service in 2010. In 2015, the commissioning of the first in class [Suffren] was postponed [to] 2018 as a result of budget difficulties."

The French Government then reasoned the 8 year delay offered the advantage of being able to smooth (budget and labour force) transition from the last Barracuda (launch around 2028) to the development of the SSBN class replacing the current Triomphant SSBNs. Replacement SSBN class design work will accelerate from the late 2020s with perhaps the replacement SSBN first of class being laid down around 2037.

These need to redesign, re-budget and program transition reasons for the delay in launching the Barracudas have made sense to the French Government that ultimately owns DCNS but it still involves much non-scheduled uncertainty - something ASC is already too good at. The private competitors to DCNS in Australia's Future Submarine contest (that is TKMS, MHI and KHI) would find it unprofitable to have the first 3 submarines of a class (see Table above) sitting in huge sheds  under construction for 10 years (on average) before those 3 submarines are actually launched.

The Australian war-ship-building industry can benefit from greater certainty and discipline in what is Australia's most expensive defence project ever.

The Japanese Soryu's building record [Table below] with the prototype for the Australian Soryu [if Japan is chosen] shows certainty not only down to yearly milestones, but frequently down to the month. Very methodical, on-time, on-budget.

JAPANESE (MHI/KHI BUILT) HULL PROTOTYPE FOR AUS SORYU CONTENDER (2007-2017 LAUNCHES,  8 LAUNCHED + 2 (EXPECTED)
SS
No.
Build No
Name
Pennant
No.
MoF approved amount ¥ Billions & FY
LABs, LIBs, AIP
Laid Down
Laun
-ched
Commi-ssioned
Built
By
16SS Soryu
Mark 1
8116
Sōryū
SS-501
¥60B FY2004
LABs + AIP
Mar 2005
Dec 2007
Mar
2009
MHI
17SS
8117
Unryū
SS-502
¥58.7B FY2005
LABs + AIP
Mar 2006
Oct 2008
Mar
2010
KHI
18SS
8118
Hakuryū
SS-503
¥56.2 FY2006
LABs + AIP
Feb 2007
Oct 2009
Mar
2011
MHI
19SS
8119
Kenryū
SS-504
¥53B FY2007
LABs + AIP
Mar 2008
Nov 2010
Mar
2012
KHI
20SS
8120
Zuiryū
SS-505
¥51B FY2008
LABs + AIP
Mar 2009
Oct 2011
Mar
2013
MHI
No
21SS
No 21SS built
22SS
8121
Kokuryū
SS-506
¥52.8B FY2010
LABs + AIP
Jan 2011
Oct 2013
Mar
2015
KHI
23SS
8122
Jinryu
SS-507
¥54.6B FY2011
LABs + AIP
Feb 2012
Oct 2014
7 Mar 2016
MHI
24SS
8123
Sekiryū
SS-508
¥54.7B FY2012
LABs + AIP
Mar 2013
Nov 2015
Mar 2017
KHI
25SS
8124
SS-509
¥53.1B FY2013
LABs + AIP
Oct 2013
Nov 2016?
Mar 2018
MHI
26SS
8125
SS-510
¥51.7B FY2014
LABs + AIP
Oct 2014
Nov 2017?
Mar 2019
KHI
Table courtesy of information provided to Submarine Matters. LABs = lead-acid batteries,  AIP = air independent propulsion.   
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Pete

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